SRI LANKA PEACE PROCESS: WHAT LIES AHEAD
IN SRI LANKA?
November 4, 2005
Presentation by
His Excellency Bernard A. B. Goonetilleke
Ambassador of Sri Lanka

I. The current Sri Lanka peace
process commenced with the change of administration in December
2001. However, it is important to note that in essence it was
built upon the foundation laid by the Kumaratunga administration,
most importantly- the recognition of the importance of the LTTE
to such a process and the involvement of third party facilitation
by Norway.
We must also remain conscious of the fact that
the peace process took place in the backdrop of particularly two
dramatic events. These were the July 2001 attack by the Liberation
Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) on the international airport and
the adjacent Air Force Base and the 9/11 terrorist attacks in
the USA six weeks later. If the attack on the airport created
a realization for the Government of Sri Lanka of the limits of
‘the military option’, the mood of the international
community against international terrorism in the aftermath of
9/11 was an equally forceful reminder to the LTTE of the limits
of international tolerance.
Thus, by December that year both sides were ready
for a respite, and when the LTTE offered a unilateral ceasefire
on December 23, the new government responded swiftly, which led
to a formal CFA in February 2002.
A year later, the Sri Lanka peace process was
touted by the international community as the most successful peace
process against the backdrop of the simmering middle-east conflict
and other conflicts such as those in Southern Sudan and Aceh,
Indonesia. However, it was a short-lived euphoria as in April
2003, after going through six rounds of negotiations, the LTTE
unilaterally withdrew from the peace talks. Not being satisfied
with that step, the LTTE suspended other mechanisms painstakingly
put together during the negotiating process, including the Sub-Committee
on Immediate Humanitarian Rehabilitation Needs in the North and
the East (SIHRN). This abrupt change of mind was characteristic
of the Organization’s previous terminations of negotiating
processes viz. the 1987 round of negotiations involving India,
1990 round with the late President Premadasa and the termination
of the talks during President Kumaratunga’s first administration
in April 1995. Those who have witnessed the erratic behaviour
of the LTTE since mid 1980s cannot be faulted for believing that
the peace process had indeed reached a dead-end by April 2003.
But the reality is that notwithstanding its limitations and possibly
being one of the ceasefires that might have had the largest violations,
three and a half years later, it continues to survive with neither
party willing to abandon it.
II. Learning Lessons from the Past
If we are genuinely interested in the future
progress of the peace process, it is necessary to examine how
and why we reached a dead end in April 2003, when the going was
so promising at the beginning. Unless we identify the errors we
have made and the wrong turns taken, which took the parties to
the conflict in a direction away from the target, we will not
make use of new opportunities, when we come across them. In the
time allocated to me, I can allude to four factors that brought
us to a dead end.
(i) Limitations in the CFA
Mr. Anton Balasingham, the chief negotiator
of the LTTE has gone on record by pointing out that “the
only substantial achievement of the entire peace process was
the Ceasefire Agreement….” However, in my opinion,
one of the first judgemental errors made by both parties was
the undue haste in which the Ceasefire Agreement (CFA) was negotiated
leading to expectations that cannot be implemented.
Having been associated with the peace process
from the inception, I vividly recall the initial discussion
on the first draft with the Norwegian facilitators. Their priority
was to sign the formal agreement by February 2002, before the
end of the third monthly extension of the informal ceasefire.
In that process, the swift signing of the CFA was given the
priority over the substance of the agreement. The armed forces
were not given an opportunity to study the text fully and come
up with their observations. Moreover, the Norwegian side insisted
that their text, which had the benefit of inputs from the LTTE,
had the best chances of being accepted by that organisation,
meaning that they did not wish to see any tinkering with the
text. Consequently, the Government and the armed forces had
to accept conditions and targets, such as vacating places of
religious worship, public buildings occupied by the armed forces
etc., within the given time frames, which were difficult to
implement. This not only caught the armed forces unprepared
to meet the time frames, but also gave an opportunity for the
LTTE to complain against non implementation of commitments made
by the government incessantly. In my opinion, both sides could
have taken little a more time to scrutinize the draft and come
up with a more realistic text acceptable. But that was not to
be.
(ii) Shifting of goal posts by the
LTTE
From the very beginning, the primary motive
of the LTTE was expansion of their domination over the areas
in the north and the east controlled by the government, and
in that process to get rid of the government forces from the
Jaffna peninsula and elsewhere, well in advance of a negotiated
settlement. The rationale advanced to achieve this objective
was to highlight the need to address “existential problems”
faced by the Tamil people and to demand the removal of restrictions
imposed by the government in the movement of certain strategic
goods to the North and the East that could have been used by
the LTTE to strengthen their position. As the new administration
kept removing those restrictions, like Oliver Twist, the LTTE
made additional demands such as that the armed forces should
vacate the HSZ on the ground that those lands were needed to
resettle the displaced persons, ignoring the fact that until
there was an understanding with regard to the security of the
armed forces, total dismantling of the HSZ was not a tenable
proposition.
However, when a plan was drawn up jointly by
the representatives of the Government, LTTE and the UNHCR, to
release the lands occupied by the armed forces stage by stage,
the LTTE insisted that unless the lands within the were HSZ
also included for resettlement, they could not allow that process
to begin. When the LTTE realised that, that demand could not
be met due to justifiable security concerns, they mobilised
civilians to demonstrate in front of the army camps and even
enter some camps forcibly. The entire exercise was a political
manoeuvre designed to move the armed forces out of the Jaffna
peninsula, without first reaching an agreement on the final
solution to the conflict, and not with a view to addressing
the “existential problems” of the civilian population.
(iii) Limitations in monitoring the
breaches of the ceasefire
From the outset, the LTTE paid scant regard
to the authority and the impartiality of the Sri Lanka Monitoring
Mission (SLMM) consisting of approximately 50 representatives,
as well as there rulings, at the time the peace process reached
the dead-end. The SLMM was a monitoring body, and it had no
mandate or capacity to enforce implementation of its decisions
on either party. That was good so long as both parties were
ready to abide by the rulings of the SLMM. However, from day
one, the LTTE paid scant regard to the rulings of the monitors
and in one instance, when one of their boats, while allegedly
transporting weapons in contravention of the CFA, was boarded
by the SLMM for inspection, the LTTE cadres on board forcibly
restrained a male and a female monitor from leaving the boat
and using them as human shields, and sped away to safety thus
avoiding retaliatory action by the Navy.
To this day, the LTTE continues with child
abductions, ignoring the agreement reached with the UNICEF,
thereby earning the ire of the UN Security Council. They abduct
civilians for ransom and assassinate political opponents and
civilians in utter disregard of the prevailing ceasefire. Consequently,
by 30 September 2005, the LTTE had amassed 3186 ceasefire violations,
whereas the violations on the part of the armed forces were
a mere 144 for the same period. The most high profile of these
violations, no doubt, has been the assassination of Foreign
Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar on August 12, 2005.
(iv) Policy of appeasement adopted
by sections of the international community
Notwithstanding the CFA and the peace process,
there appears to have been no corresponding qualitative shift
in the outlook and psyche on the part of the LTTE. The policy
of appeasement adopted by sections of the international community
since 2002, including rewarding the organization in expectation
of good behaviour in the future, did not persuade the LTTE to
sufficiently feel that such a change was necessary. In fact,
such a policy seems to have emboldened the LTTE to continue
on with its policies and practices.
As they had done in the case of previous assassinations
including that of Rajiv Gandhi, the LTTE denied their involvement
in the Kadirgamar assassination, which act shocked the international
community. This appears to have led to a re-evaluation of the
policy of many governments toward the organisation.
- On September 19, 2005 the Co-Chairs of
the Tokyo Donor Conference in support of the Peace Process
in Sri Lanka, unequivocally condemned the assassination of
the Foreign Minister and noted that “this unconscionable
act of terrorism casts profound doubt on the commitment of
those responsible to a peaceful and political resolution of
the conflict”. They “called on the LTTE to take
immediate public steps to demonstrate their commitment to
the peace process and their willingness to change”,
and pointed out that “an immediate end to political
assassinations by the LTTE and an end to LTTE recruitment
of child soldiers are two such steps.”
- On September 26, the EU in an extraordinary
statement said “the European Union is actively considering
the formal listing of the LTTE as a terrorist organization”
and that “in the meantime, the European Union has agreed
that with immediate effect, delegations from the LTTE will
no longer be received in any of the EU Member States until
further notice”. The statement repeats “it’s
serious concern at the continuing recruitment and retention
of child soldier cadres by the LTTE and reminds them that
there can be no excuse whatsoever for this abhorrent practice
to continue”.
III. The future
Whether there is hope for the future, will depend
mainly on the capacity and the willingness of the respective actors
to respond to these and other challenges, that emanate from both
the domestic and international circumstances we are placed in.
One thing is crystal clear. That is, if the parties to the conflict
are to move in the direction of peace and avoid once again ending
at a dead-end, there will have to be new thinking on the part
of both parties, particularly the LTTE.
Domestic circumstances
Sri Lanka is a multi ethnic, multi-religious
and a multi-cultural society. People of Sri Lanka, irrespective
of their individual uniqueness, have coexisted peacefully for
over two thousand years except for brief periods of conflict,
imposed upon them by those driven by political compulsions. Consequently,
the yearning of the people of Sri Lanka, irrespective of their
differences, would be to live peacefully, in security and pursue
their individual goals, whether they are economic, cultural, or
religious, without let or hindrance by others. This yearning of
the populace will be the driving force that would encourage all
political parties concerned to seek a negotiated solution to the
conflict in Sri Lanka.
It is clear that both main candidates in the
forthcoming presidential election recognize this imperative. Notwithstanding
the variations and the emphasis they each lay, concerning the
modus operandi they propose to adopt in resolving the conflict,
both are of the view that arriving at a peaceful political settlement
is a necessity. They also agree that arriving at a bi-partisan
agreement is a pre-requisite towards a settlement. Both candidates
are also aware that whatever settlement reached, to have legitimacy,
must be ratified through a referendum by the people of Sri Lanka.
As for the LTTE, for the peace process to succeed,
there are several important steps that need to be taken by them.
There should be a clear understanding that they will strictly
abide by the rulings of the SLMM. They should adopt a more principled
approach toward the peace process this time around and allow the
negotiators to address both humanitarian as well as core issues
without avoiding the latter, as they did earlier. There should
be a genuine effort “to explore a solution founded on the
principle of internal self-determination” based on a federal
structure within a united Sri Lanka in keeping with the decision
reached in Oslo in December 2002. More importantly, the LTTE has
to accept the fact that such a solution should be an inclusive
one acceptable to all communities, particularly the Muslims. The
organisation has to come to terms with the evolving situation
in the Eastern theatre and find a solution to the issues confronting
the Eastern Province, without passing on the blame to the Government.
Equally important is the human rights issues
of the people living in the areas under their domination, which
the LTTE has failed to address, even after the visit of Mr. Ian
Martin, the international Advisor on Human Rights to Sri Lanka,
last month. Space should be provided for political parties to
function without hindrance or intimidation, so that democracy
would take root in the LTTE dominated areas in the North and the
East. The LTTE has to acknowledge the fact that the interests
of the Muslim and Sinhala communities living in the North and
the East should not be overlooked and they should not be oppressed.
International circumstances
The world has changed considerably since the
mid 1970s, when the LTTE decided to engage in an armed conflict
for the cause of the Sri Lankan Tamils. Consequently, the organization
has to go through an internal change in the policies, practices
and tactics they deploy to achieve their objectives. Such measures
will have to be in keeping with the changed international circumstances.
The LTTE has to acknowledge the fact that several
countries have already proscribed the organization, and others
are threatening to do so with good reason. The fact that in the
past two and a half months since the Kadirgamar assassination,
despite the many strictures and sanctions against them, there
have been 44 further killings by the LTTE, does not help the LTTE’s
quest to seek respectability in the eyes of the world. These actions
of the LTTE clearly runs counter to the spirit of the Tokyo Declaration
on Sri Lanka, endorsed by some 51 countries in June 2003 that
pledged assistance to the reconstruction of the country, particularly
the North and the East, which insisted that the LTTE remain committed
to the bench marks enunciated in that document, among which was
the adherence to the ceasefire, to permit democratic dissent,
prevent violation of human rights, ensure the interests of the
Muslims and eventual disarmament.
It is ironic that at a time when militant separatist
groups such as those in Sudan, Northern Ireland and Banda Aceh
have willingly sought to give up terrorism and separatism and
to resort to political means to achieve their goals, the LTTE
stubbornly seeks to deceive the international community. Given
its significant capacity for terrorism, including having conducted
the largest number of suicide bombing operations in recent times,
the LTTE also continues to pose a serious threat to international
security in the post 9/11 era.
It has been a long road for both parties to the
conflict, and indeed a difficult road for the people of Sri Lanka,
across the ethnic divide. The country has a vast potential as
demonstrated by the economic growth each year, despite the destructive
conflict. A negotiated settlement would unleash the full potential
of all people of the country and permit all to live in peace,
harmony and prosperity. And it is our hope that, that day will
dawn upon us sooner than later. (end)
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