IMF UPGRADES SRI LANKA’S STATUS TO MIDDLE INCOME EMERGING MARKET

Move Reflects Strong Economic Performance in Recent Years

The International Monetary Fund has recognized Sri Lanka as a country with a 'Middle Income Emerging Market' status, upgrading Sri Lanka from the list of Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) eligible countries.

The new designation is further recognition of Sri Lanka’s rapid economic growth following the end of its 25-year-long conflict with the terrorist group LTTE. Since the fighting concluded in May 2009, Sri Lanka’s Colombo stock market has posted record returns and its industries - particularly tourism - have rebounded with impressive speed.

The IMF’s upgrade in income-level status was made on Jan. 11, 2010. It recognizes Sri Lanka’s long-term growth trend and it will allow Sri Lanka to project itself strongly in international financial and capital markets, according to the Central Bank of Sri Lanka.

A country graduates from PRGT only if it has enjoyed income per capita well above the International Development Association (IDA) threshold for a number of years, has the capacity for durable and substantial access to international financial markets and does not face serious short-term vulnerabilities, according to the Central Bank.

The Central Bank also noted that the Executive Board of the IMF has taken into account the following specific factors in considering of Sri Lanka’s graduation.

  • Strong economic performance in recent years that has substantially lifted Sri Lanka’s per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to US dollars 2,014 by 2008, well above the prevailing IDA threshold, and its per capita Gross National Income (GNI) has not been on a declining trend for the last 5 years. The strong growth performance has signalled substantial resilience to shocks, including shocks to oil prices, and to the expiration of the Multi-Fibre Agreement.

  • The availability of an IMF Stand-by Arrangement facility as approved in July 2009 to cushion the impact of the global crisis. Further, the economic developments under the programme have been stronger than expected, with GDP growth expected to return to almost pre-crisis levels in 2010, while exports have been showing signs of recovery.

  • The country’s public external debt being projected to decline gradually over the medium term. Although debt dynamics remain sensitive to currency depreciation and export shocks, the timely implementation of fiscal consolidation, as envisaged in the Stand-by Arrangement programme, will be crucial to ensure that the public debt remains on a sustainable path.

  • The country’s ability to access international capital markets in the past years and its ability to meet the market access criterion. Oversubscription of the recently issued five-year sovereign bond reflected the progress made under the Fund-supported program, and signalled good prospects for continued access to international capital markets.

Embassy of Sri Lanka
Washington DC
USA

21 January 2010

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